Ecological risk assessment under the PSR framework and its application to shallow urban lakes.

Shallow urban lakes are naturally vulnerable to ecosystem degradation. Rapid urbanization in recent decades has led to a variety of aquatic problems such as eutrophication, algal blooms, and biodiversity loss, increasing the risk to lake-wide ecological sustainability. Instead of a simple binary assessment of ecological risk, holistic evaluation frameworks that consider multiple stressors and receptors can provide a more comprehensive assessment of overall ecological risk. In this study, we analyzed a combined dataset of government statistics, remote sensing images, and 1 year of field measurements to develop an index system for urban lake ecological risk assessment based on the pressure-state-response (PSR) framework. We used the developed ecological safety index (ESI) system to evaluate the ecological risk for three urban lakes in Jiangsu Province, China: Lake Yangcheng-LYC, Lake Changdang-LCD, and Lake Tashan-LTS. LYC and LTS were classified as "mostly safe" and "generally recognized as safe," respectively, while LCD was assessed as having "potential ecological risk." Our data suggest that socioeconomic pressure and aquatic health are the two main factors affecting the ecological risk in both LYC and LCD. The ecological risk of LTS could be improved more effectively if regional management plans are well implemented. Our study highlights the pressure of external wastewater loading, low forest-grassland coverage, and lake shoreline damage on the three selected urban lakes. The findings of this study can inform watershed management for lake ecosystem restoration and environmental sustainability.

Interannual variability of air-water CO2 flux in a large eutrophic estuary.

Air-water CO2 fluxes in estuarine environments are characterized by high interannual variability, in part due to hydrological variability that alters estuarine carbonate chemistry through multiple physical and biogeochemical processes. To understand the relative contributions of these varied controls on interannual air-water CO2 fluxes in the mainstem Chesapeake Bay, we implemented both hindcast and scenario simulations using a coupled physical-biogeochemical model. Significant spatiotemporal variability in bay-wide fluxes was found over a 10-year period (1996-2005), where the mainstem Bay was primarily a net CO2 sink, except in drought periods. Sensitivity scenario results suggested substantial effects of riverine nutrient and organic matter (OM) inputs to CO2 flux variations. The high correlations between riverine inputs and upper-Bay fluxes were due to elevated respiration under increased OM inputs. The interannual flux variations in the lower Bay was mostly regulated by the nutrient inputs. Both nutrient and OM inputs contributed to the flux variability in the mid Bay. It is found that the interannual CO2 flux of the mainstem was most sensitive to riverine nutrient inputs associated with the hydrological changes. For each hindcast simulation we computed the ratio of organic carbon turnover time to water residence time (λ), a proxy for CO2 efflux potential, and found that the wetter periods had a relatively lower λ. The variability of mainstem CO2 fluxes can be well represented using a generic function of λ. The model results showed that higher river flows would lead to enhanced CO2 sinks into a large eutrophic estuary by promoting net autotrophy.

Multi-objective optimal reservoir operation considering algal bloom control in reservoirs.

Reservoir operation strategies (ROSs) are considered an efficient and low-cost method to control algal blooms. However, reservoir operations must consider regular objectives, including flood prevention and power generation. To address this multi-objective optimization problem, we coupled the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II) model and the General Lake Model-Aquatic EcoDynamics library (GLM-AED) model to optimize reservoir operations. Taking the Zipingpu Reservoir as a case study, we found the peak of outflow discharge (POD) could be reduced from 1059.5 to 861.4 m3 s-1 (19%), the total power generation (TPG) could be increased from 6.6 × 108 to 7.1 × 108 kW h (8%), and the peak of chlorophyll a concentration (PCC) could be decreased from 42.7 to 27.2 µg L-1 (36%) compared with the original reservoir operation in the early flood period. The obtained Pareto frontier revealed the tradeoffs between algal bloom control, flood prevention, and power generation. Reservoir operation schemes that achieved low PCC were typically associated with large POD and moderate TPG. In particular, under fixed start and end water levels, maintaining a higher average water level during May and June could result in larger outflows, effectively inhibiting algal accumulation and bloom development, thereby leading to a lower PCC. Slight variations in average water age were found among the minimum PCC scheme, maximum TPG scheme, and minimum POD scheme, indicating that water exchange varied little and has not been responsible for the differences in PCC. Collectively, enhancing outflow was determined to play a vital role in reducing PCC, particularly when operating under constrained rules. These findings contribute new insights into optimal reservoir operations considering algal bloom control and emphasize the importance of enhancing outflow as a governing mechanism. Furthermore, the coupled model offers a transferable technical framework for reservoir managers to mitigate eutrophication through ROSs.

Decoupling of Estuarine Hypoxia and Acidification as Revealed by Historical Water Quality Data.

Hypoxia and acidification are commonly coupled in eutrophic aquatic environments because aerobic respiration is usually dominant in bottom waters and can lower dissolved oxygen (DO) and pH simultaneously. However, the degree of coupling, which can be weakened by non-aerobic respiration and CaCO3 cycling, has not been adequately assessed. In this study, we applied a box model to 20 years of water quality monitoring data to explore the relationship between hypoxia and acidification along the mainstem of Chesapeake Bay. In the early summer, dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) production in mid-bay bottom waters was dominated by aerobic respiration, contributing to DO and pH declines. In contrast, late-summer DIC production was higher than that expected from aerobic respiration, suggesting potential buffering processes, such as calcium carbonate dissolution, which would elevate pH in hypoxic waters. These findings are consistent with contrasting seasonal relationships between riverine nitrogen (N) loads and hypoxic and acidified volumes. The N loads were associated with increased hypoxic and acidified volumes in June, but only increased hypoxic volumes in August, when acidified volume declines instead. Our study reveals that the magnitude of this decoupling varies interannually with watershed nutrient inputs, which has implications for the management of co-stressors in estuarine systems.

Phosphorus removal by aquatic vegetation in shallow eutrophic lakes: a laboratory study.

Eutrophication in inland lakes is occurring frequently with the rapid urbanization, the increases in human population, and the intensive agricultural activities. Traditional management programs focusing on external nutrient reduction failed in recovery of certain aquatic environments where internal nutrient releases are substantial. In this study, we evaluated the effects of aquatic vegetation in altering the phosphorus concentrations in a shallow, eutrophic lake through laboratory flume experiments. Our measurements demonstrated that aquatic vegetation could effectively lower the phosphorus levels in the water column, and the average reduction reached 90% for submerged vegetation and 80% for emergent vegetation. The experimental results showed that the submerged vegetation was effective to reduce phosphorus concentrations in the top and mid layers of pore waters and sediments. Differently, the emergent vegetation would assimilate more phosphorus in the bottom layer due to its deep root distributions. The flowing-water environment favored phosphorus removal for emergent vegetation, while the submerged vegetation was more functional in static waters according to our observations. The flux results showed that phosphorus transports from water columns to leaves, roots to leaves, and sediments to roots were all inhibited in flowing-water environments for submerged vegetation. Oppositely, the fluxes of emergent vegetation groups were all enhanced in flowing waters. Our experiments could inform ecosystem management concerning the potentials of aquatic vegetation in nutrient removal at regional and lake-wide scales.

Modelling the transport of sloughed cladophora in the nearshore zone of Lake Michigan.

The invasion of dreissenid mussels has profoundly altered benthic physical environments and whole-lake nutrient cycling in the Great Lakes over the past several decades. The resurgence of the filamentous green alga Cladophora appears to be one of the consequences of this invasion. Sloughed Cladophora deteriorates water quality, fouls recreational beaches, and may contribute to outbreaks of avian botulism, which have been especially severe in the Sleeping Bear Dunes National Lakeshore (SLBE) region of Lake Michigan. To help determine the fate of sloughed Cladophora, a Lagrangian particle trajectory model was developed to track the transport of Cladophora fragments in the nearshore zone based upon a physical transport-mixing model. The model results demonstrate that the primary deposition sites of sloughed Cladophora within the SLBE region are mid-depth sites not far away from their initial growth area. Because of high algae production in the nearshore waters and limited exchange between the inner and outer bay, the shoreline beach of Platte Bay appears to be particularly vulnerable to fouling, with overall three times as many accumulated particles as those along the Sleeping Bear Bay and Good Harbor Bay. The results of this model may be used to guide regional environmental management initiatives and provide insights into the mechanisms responsible for avian botulism outbreaks. This model may also inform the development of whole-lake ecosystem models that account for nearshore-offshore interactions.

Study of ecological compensation in complex river networks based on a mathematical model.

Transboundary water pollution has resulted in increasing conflicts between upstream and downstream administrative districts. Ecological compensation is an efficient means of restricting pollutant discharge and achieving sustainable utilization of water resources. The tri-provincial region of Taihu Basin is a typical river networks area. Pollutant flux across provincial boundaries in the Taihu Basin is hard to determine due to complex hydrologic and hydrodynamic conditions. In this study, ecological compensation estimation for the tri-provincial area based on a mathematical model is investigated for better environmental management. River discharge and water quality are predicted with the one-dimensional mathematical model and validated with field measurements. Different ecological compensation criteria are identified considering the notable regional discrepancy in sewage treatment costs. Finally, the total compensation payment is estimated. Our study indicates that Shanghai should be the receiver of payment from both Jiangsu and Zhenjiang in 2013, with 305 million and 300 million CNY, respectively. Zhejiang also contributes more pollutants to Jiangsu, and the compensation to Jiangsu is estimated as 9.3 million CNY. The proposed ecological compensation method provides an efficient way for solving the transboundary conflicts in a complex river networks area and is instructive for future policy-making.

Control of Pollutants in the Trans-Boundary Area of Taihu Basin, Yangtze Delta.

This work focuses on pollution control in the trans-boundary area of Taihu Basin. Considering the unique characteristics of the river network in the study area, a new methodology of pollution control is proposed aiming at improving the water quality in the trans-boundary area and reducing conflicts between up and downstream regions. Based on monitoring data and statistical analysis, important trans-boundary cross sections identified by the regional government were selected as important areas for consideration in developing management objectives; using a 1-D mathematicmodel and an effective weight evaluation model, the trans-boundary effective control scope (TECS) of the study area was identified as the scope for pollutant control; the acceptable pollution load was then estimated using an established model targeting bi-directional flow. The results suggest that the water environmental capacity for chemical oxygen demand (COD), in order to guarantee reaching the target water quality standard in the TECS, is 160,806 t/year, and amounts to 16,098 t/year, 3493 t/year, and 39,768 t/year for ammonia nitrogen, total nitrogen, and total phosphorus, respectively. Our study method and results have been incorporated into the local government management project, and have been proven to be useful in designing a pollution control strategy and management policy.